Thursday, July 2, 2009

Cap room or not?

Once again, Larry Brooks has written an article that confuses me. Read it, for context. He lists what he believes to be the players we now have under contract (or have qualifying offers out to) and the total cap hit we're looking at. And, of course, I'm confused. By...all of it. Let's have a look-see.

He lists Drury, Dubinsky, Anisimov, Boyle, Avery, Higgins, Zherdev, Callahan, Korpikoski, Brashear, Redden, Rozsival, Girardi, Staal, Gilroy, Lundqvist, and Valiquette at a total of $42 million. Here are the numbers I've seen (all numbers in millions of dollars, forgive the shitty formatting): Drury - 7.1; Dubinsky - 0.7; Anisimov - 0.8; Boyle - 0.8; Avery - 1.9; Higgins - unknown, earned 1.7 last year; Zherdev - 3.3; Callahan - 0.7, but eligible for arbitration, will probably sign in the 2-mil range; Korpikoski - made around 1 million last year, probably the same again; Brashear - 1.4 (ew); Redden - 6.5; Rozsival - 5; Girardi - 1.6; Staal - 0.8; Gilroy - 1.8; Lundqvist - 6.9; Valiquette - 0.7.

So, the point is: my total comes to $42.7 million, assuming Higgins and Korpikoski do not get raises at all, and not allowing Callahan to arbitrate (which he is, again, eligible to do, as Brooks says). So, add all these up, and put Callahan up at Brooks's figure of 2.3, and we're committed to more like $44.3 million for these players (again, without upping Higgins's or Callahan's contract). This puts Brooks's figure of "just under $15 million with which to invest" at more like 12 and a half million. Still enough to give Dubinsky the $3 million Brooks is afraid he deserves (he does), but not quite as comfortably.

And then you realize: that Gaborik fellow Brooks mentioned didn't make into his list of players. No way was this an omission from the list and not the money: that kind of contract is not going to sneak into Brooks's $42 million figure. In fact, Gaborik was offered $7.5 million a year ($100,000 more than Gomez). That's...quite the omission, Brooksie. That'll stick the figure up at $51.8 million, 5 million shy of the cap.

Now, let's go back and give Dubi the $3 million we might need to offer him (if he does go seeking bigger offers from other teams). That's another 2.3, putting us at $54.1 million. And then we get to the "didn't you forget somebody" portion of today's lesson. To my understanding, Aaron Voros signed a 3-year, $3 million contract at the beginning of last season. That makes him absolutely not a free agent. Also to my understanding, he has in no way been traded from the Rangers at any point thus far. So, he's under contract to us. Another million, under the cap.

So, Brooks lists 4 centers, 6 wings, 5 defensemen, and 2 goalies and comes up with $15 million left to spend. I'm afraid the situation turns out to be 4 centers, 8 wings, 5 defensemen, and 2 goalies, with $1.7 million left to spend.

Am I misunderstanding something here? Even if Voros is technically in the minors, still, we're looking at 4 centers, 7 wings, 5 d-men, and 2 keepers with $2.7 million left. It's some maneuvering room, but it sure isn't a ton.

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